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Toy Story 5 Pushes Hollywood Toward a $4 Billion Summer

Pixar's fifth outing set a franchise record and the year's biggest debut, but the rebound it is fueling rests almost entirely on familiar IP.

A scene from Disney and Pixar's Toy Story 5.
A scene from Disney and Pixar's Toy Story 5.

Hollywood is on track for its second $4 billion summer since the pandemic, and the reason is a sequel about a tablet picking a fight with a box of toys.

"Toy Story 5" opened to $160 million in the United States and Canada and $312 million worldwide, the biggest debut of 2026 and a record start for the franchise, not adjusted for inflation. It is also the second-largest animated opening in history, trailing only Pixar's own "Incredibles 2" and its $182.6 million bow in 2018.

The single number that should cheer studio accountants is broader than any one film: revenue for the four-month summer stretch should comfortably clear $4 billion for only the second time since the pandemic, according to Variety's box office tally. The first was 2023, the season of "Barbenheimer." Strip away the nostalgia and the math is simple. Families came back to theaters, and they came back spending.

Cinemark felt it directly. The chain reported its all-time biggest three-day domestic opening weekend for a G- or PG-rated film, its best-ever domestic June weekend, and the top-performing weekend of its year. It also logged the highest June weekend food-and-beverage per-cap in company history, helped along, the chain said, by demand for "Toy Story 5" themed merchandise and an expanded menu.

"Toy Story 5" tops every other 2026 opening
$160MToy Story 5 $131.7MMario Galaxy $120.9MToy Story 4
Domestic opening-weekend grosses, not adjusted for inflation. Chart: Daybreak Wire. Data: Variety, Deadline.

The performance landed ahead of the year's prior best openings, Universal's "Super Mario Galaxy Movie" at $131.7 million and, in 2025, "A Minecraft Movie" at $162.7 million across its full launch. The "Toy Story" films have now grossed more than $3 billion worldwide across the first four entries, and the series carries 11 Oscar nominations and three wins.

The lift went well past Pixar's own ledger. The entire domestic box office for the weekend reached an estimated $237.6 million, the best three-day stretch of the year so far and the strongest since Memorial Day 2025, according to Box Office Mojo. That $312 million worldwide start ranks as the second-best global opening for a Pixar film, behind only "Inside Out 2." Disney also had pop's biggest star in its corner: a Taylor Swift song written for the film, "I Knew It, I Know You," debuted at No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 the same weekend.

Video: Pixar — the official "Toy Story 5" trailer.

What is driving the rebound is worth reading closely, because it is not a broad return to moviegoing so much as a return to a few very reliable bets. Premium large-format and IMAX screens accounted for roughly a third of the weekend's ticket sales, the kind of higher-priced seats that pad a gross. The audience skewed heavily toward parents; moms outnumbered dads 72 percent to 28 percent, per exit polling cited by Deadline. A 95 percent critics' score on Rotten Tomatoes and an A CinemaScore did the rest.

None of which is original. The summer's muscle is coming from established intellectual property, a fifth "Toy Story," another Mario, the franchises audiences already trust, rather than from new stories breaking through. That is the quiet asterisk on a record weekend that built on Friday's franchise-best debut: the theatrical business has found a reliable way to fill seats, and it runs almost entirely through characters that were minted decades ago.

For now, the recovery is real and the receipts are large. Whether the industry can teach audiences to show up for something they have never met before is the test the box office has not yet passed.

Reporting based on coverage by Variety.

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