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Climate

Climate change, energy and environment.

A pumpjack east of Andrews, Texas, in the Permian Basin

EPA's Own Math: $45 Billion in Savings, 60 Million Tons More Methane

Trump said the methane rule is terminated; EPA's signed paper is a proposal. Its impact analysis explains the $45 billion, the 210 million barrels and the 60 million tons.

Climate  · 28 Oct 2026, 12:40  · Maya Calder
A bulldozer works in churning surf beside piled sand on a Southern California beach as crews reinforce the shoreline ahead of this week's high tides. Photo: ABC7 Los Angeles

SoCal's Possible Record Tides: 6.8 Feet Astronomical, 1.35 From the Sea

Sunday's preliminary 7.71 feet left Los Angeles about 2.5 inches short of its 7.92-foot record. Astronomy sets the base; the Pacific's extra water decides whether this week beats it.

Climate  · 26 Oct 2026, 12:46  · Maya Calder
National Hurricane Center five-day forecast cone for Hurricane Vance at 3 a.m. CST Sunday, Oct. 25, 2026 (Advisory 16), showing the center curving north-northwest then northwest, offshore of Mexico's Pacific coast, through Friday.

Vance Is Down to 85 mph, Yet Colima and Jalisco Still Face Days of Rain

Vance weakened to 85 mph by 3 a.m. CST Sunday and the center is forecast to stay offshore, yet the hurricane center still expects flooding rain and rough surf.

Climate  · 25 Oct 2026, 12:35  · Maya Calder
A pharmacy's green LED cross reading 44 °C on a Paris street on June 26, 2026, a street sign rather than an official weather reading.

The 71% Jump in Europe's Heat Deaths Is About 54% Like for Like

The Imperial and LSHTM estimate of 50,391 heat deaths in 854 cities is a record in its own 854-city series, on either population base, but it is a cities-only model, and the 71% headline gap shrinks like for like.

Climate  · 23 Oct 2026, 13:51  · Maya Calder
Aerial view of a solar farm under construction, with panels on some racks and others still empty, beside farmland and forest

UNEP's 18% by 2030 Is About 10.5 Billion Tonnes; Pledges Cover Under Half

Applied to UNEP's 2025 total, the 18% cut needed by 2030 is about 10.5 billion tonnes, and the yearly pace climbs from about 3.9% to 10.8% by 2040. Current national plans cover under half of the first step.

Climate  · 21 Oct 2026, 12:49  · Maya Calder
Motorists wearing protective masks drive through wildfire haze in Central Kalimantan province, Indonesia.

Indonesia's Dry-Ice Haze Trial Will Be Hard to Judge, and Harder to Scale

Palembang's airport read 50 meters of visibility on the morning Indonesia's first dry-ice flight was due. A cheap experiment is worth trying, but haze that swings on its own and 1.5 tons of ice against a city's worth of air make success hard to prove.

Climate  · 15 Oct 2026, 12:42  · Maya Calder
A Pacific Gas and Electric crew buries power lines in Paradise, Calif.

PG&E Readies Shutoffs for 70,000 Customers Without a Red Flag Warning

The notice list is a ceiling, not a forecast. Here is how PG&E's fuel-moisture and ignition models pick circuits, why Paradise is in scope, and how often warnings end in outages.

Climate  · 14 Oct 2026, 13:03  · Maya Calder
IPCC chair Jim Skea confers with vice-chair Ladislaus Chang'a, deputy secretary Ermira Fida and secretary Abdalah Mokssit at the panel's 64th session in Bangkok in March 2026.

IPCC Delay Fight Hinges on Two Reports and a Trust Fund Running Dry

After 1,000 days without an agreed report timeline, the IPCC's Addis Ababa session is also deciding whether the panel can set a 2027 budget at all.

Climate  · 13 Oct 2026, 12:43  · Maya Calder
NOAA satellite image of Hurricane Simon off Mexico's west-central Pacific coast on Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026.

Mexico's $175 Million Hurricane Bond Turns on Where Simon Crosses a Line

Simon's eyewall sits very near Mexico's Pacific coast and forecasters can't say whether it will make landfall. The same few miles of track decide whether a World Bank catastrophe bond pays Mexico anything.

Climate  · 11 Oct 2026, 12:41  · Maya Calder
WMO multi-model ensemble map showing high probabilities of above-normal surface temperatures across most of the globe for October to December 2026, with the equatorial Pacific signal of El Niño.

4.0°C Above Normal: Japan's El Niño Record Depends on Which Index You Read

Japan's gauge broke a 1997 record in September. NOAA's official measure, which strips out the warming of the whole tropical ocean, is still short of its 1983 high, and that gap shapes what this winter can expect.

Climate  · 10 Oct 2026, 12:55  · Maya Calder
Scar House Reservoir dam in Nidderdale, North Yorkshire, in a 2014 file photograph

Yorkshire Is in Drought, Not Under a Ban, With Reservoirs at 42.7%

The Environment Agency moved Yorkshire into drought on Oct. 9, yet Yorkshire Water plans no restrictions. The legal split, the reservoir numbers against last year's ban, and what winter rain must do.

Climate  · 9 Oct 2026, 19:10  · Maya Calder
NOAA satellite image of Tropical Storm Isaias over the southwestern Gulf at 12:16 p.m. EDT on Oct. 7, 2026, hours before it became the Atlantic season's first hurricane.

Isaias Came Within Hours of 1905's Latest-First-Hurricane Record

In the UTC time the hurricane record uses, Isaias was upgraded three and a half hours after 1905's first hurricane. Wind shear, El Niño's brake all season, now hinges on a trough as Isaias nears the Gulf Coast and Rachel heads for Southern California.

Climate  · 8 Oct 2026, 12:44  · Maya Calder
A female Culex pipiens pallens mosquito, a close relative of the northern house mosquito that overwinters as dormant adults.

Does the First Frost Kill Mosquitoes? Daylight Matters More

Frost gets the credit for ending mosquito season, but shrinking daylight flips the switch weeks earlier, and many mosquitoes simply wait out winter in garages and as eggs.

Climate  · 7 Oct 2026, 12:21  · Maya Calder
Frost coating red autumn shrubs and spruce trees on a foggy fall morning (photo: Wikimedia Commons)

Frost Advisory vs. Freeze Warning vs. Hard Freeze: What Each Means

The three cold-weather alerts measure different risks, their cutoffs change from one forecast office to the next, and all of them disappear once your growing season is over.

Climate  · 6 Oct 2026, 12:18  · Maya Calder
Golden aspen trees on a hillside in southern Colorado in autumn (file photo).

Why Leaves Are Changing Color Early: What Drought Stress Means

Day length, the normal trigger for fall color, is the same every year. When a tree turns weeks early, drought or damage is usually doing the work, and 2026 has offered plenty of both.

Climate  · 2 Oct 2026, 12:18  · Maya Calder
A shelf cloud advances along the leading edge of a derecho over Oklahoma in 2011.

Derecho or Tornado? The Wind Pattern That Tells You Which

A derecho and a tornado can look equally destructive, but only one of them spins. Here's the wind pattern, and the wind-speed math, that tells them apart.

Climate  · 16 Sep 2026, 12:22  · Maya Calder
Konyaaltı Beach in Antalya, Türkiye, the resort city hosting the COP31 UN climate summit in November 2026.

Türkiye Says It Still Has Final Say Over COP31

Türkiye and Australia split the COP31 presidency to end a yearlong hosting fight. This week Türkiye's climate minister said the deal doesn't make them equals.

Climate  · 12 Sep 2026, 12:23  · Maya Calder
Thick orange wildfire smoke hangs over a city skyline, obscuring buildings in haze.

Why Wildfire Smoke Can Smell Like Burning Plastic

The acrid, chemical smell in wildfire smoke isn't your imagination — it's benzene and formaldehyde, and sometimes it's literally burning plastic.

Climate  · 11 Sep 2026, 12:22  · Maya Calder
A drone view of Oroville Dam and its main spillway at Lake Oroville in Butte County, California.

Why California Drains Its Reservoirs Before a Storm Even Arrives

Before a single drop of storm runoff arrives, California dam operators are already emptying space for it. New atmospheric-river forecasting means they can now time that release to the hour.

Climate  · 8 Sep 2026, 12:34  · Maya Calder
Aerial view of a South Florida water control structure used to manage king tide flooding.

Why King Tides Flood Streets Without a Single Storm

Twice a year, the moon and sun line up to push ordinary high tides over seawalls with no storm in sight, and South Florida just published exactly when it happens next.

Climate  · 3 Sep 2026, 12:28  · Maya Calder