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National Hurricane Center

NOAA satellite image of Hurricane Simon off Mexico's west-central Pacific coast on Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026.

Mexico's $175 Million Hurricane Bond Turns on Where Simon Crosses a Line

Simon's eyewall sits very near Mexico's Pacific coast and forecasters can't say whether it will make landfall. The same few miles of track decide whether a World Bank catastrophe bond pays Mexico anything.

Climate  · 11 Oct 2026, 12:41  · Maya Calder
NOAA satellite image of Tropical Storm Isaias over the southwestern Gulf at 12:16 p.m. EDT on Oct. 7, 2026, hours before it became the Atlantic season's first hurricane.

Isaias Came Within Hours of 1905's Latest-First-Hurricane Record

In the UTC time the hurricane record uses, Isaias was upgraded three and a half hours after 1905's first hurricane. Wind shear, El Niño's brake all season, now hinges on a trough as Isaias nears the Gulf Coast and Rachel heads for Southern California.

Climate  · 8 Oct 2026, 12:44  · Maya Calder
The National Hurricane Center's 2025 forecast cone graphic, showing the shaded track-uncertainty funnel.

The Hurricane Cone Doesn't Show a Storm's Size

Most people assume the white cone on a hurricane graphic shows where the damage will land. It doesn't, and that mix-up has already cost lives.

Climate  · 21 Jul 2026, 18:17  · Maya Calder
National Hurricane Center forecast graphic for Potential Tropical Cyclone One off the Texas coast.

Texas faces days of flooding as a Gulf system may become Arthur

The system may or may not earn a name. The flooding threat from the Texas coast into the Deep South is already here, the hurricane center says.

Climate  · 17 Jun 2026, 10:15  · Maya Calder